I lived in Maidenhead for over 25 years. My kids were schooled there. Theresa May, Prime Minister, has been MP there since 1997. The question is whether she will be the MP after June 8th?
"Of course she will" I hear you say. But not so fast!
Constituents' attitude to Brexit
The Maidenhead constituency consists of parts of two unitary authorities:
- The northern half of the Royal Borough of Windsor and Maidenhead, bounded by the River Thames between West Windsor and Bisham
- The northern part of Wokingham Council, including Twyford and Sonning
So it's clear that Maidenhead voted Remain. Theresa May campaigned for Remain last year, with strong logical arguments against Brexit. Voters don't like a turncoat, a flip-flopper seemingly putting career over country.
Theresa's Voting Record in General Elections
In the General Election in 2001, Theresa beat the LibDem candidate Kathy Newbound by only just over 3000 votes. Around this time the LibDems ran the local council. There was a solid centrist tendency in Maidenhead, which still exists.
|From this week's Maidenhead Advertiser|
Who Could Beat Theresa in 2017?
Theresa's majority in 2015 was so large, the question is actually who could split the Tory vote? The candidate would need to be:
- Anti-Brexit, or at least wanting a soft Brexit
Visit to Maidenhead 29 April 2017
So what are voters thinking now?
Before I went, I spoke to a uni friend who served as a diplomat for the Foreign Office and was Chief Exec of hi-tech businesses. Likely to be a true blue Tory, how was he going to vote? "Not Tory. No way." was his immediate response. The same goes for others in Maidenhead.
|Maidenhead Bridge for the A4 with Maidenhead Rowing Club|
Another friend and colleague runs the Food Bank in Maidenhead. (Yes you read that right. A food bank. In Theresa's constituency!). He was away. I'll get his thoughts when he's back (see below).
A chat with a friend who has been captain of Maidenhead Golf Club was unconvincing. He'd just left the course, and talk had been more about how to get that ball into that ruddy hole! (Golfers, eh? Do they think of anything else?) - see below for an update.
|Theresa was in this very spot Saturday morning|
The eateries are staffed by eastern Europeans. Fearing for their future.
Chats with people in the street were mixed, but typically similar to one lady who said "I'm not happy with the Tories, but will vote for them if nobody better." Sounds like the polls are exaggerating the true level of Tory support.
Update from Saturday 6th May
|Labour intensive. Pat McDonald (right) outside McDonalds|
- He had voted Leave last June
- The only special offer Boots had ever sent him was for shampoo (see photo)
Perhaps Theresa May might like to see for herself on her next visit?
|The Carters Gallopers. With music from a traditional organ.|
But a day in Maidenhead wouldn't be complete without a visit to Carters Steam Fair. They over-winter in White Waltham, in the heart of the constituency, and tour the SouthEast in the spring, summer and autumn. Just twice a year in Maidenhead, they were at Pinkneys Green that day.
Immaculate, the #BestOfBritish. Absolutely in tune with The Just Party's maxim "Great Aspirations. Great Britain."
Update from Tuesday 9th May
Today I visited Maidenhead Town Hall to hand in the Nomination forms for The Just Party candidate in the Maidenhead constituency.
|Maidenhead Golf Club. View from the 19th|
I popped round to see a recent Club Captain. The Club has a quandary. Wait until the lease runs out, and potentially be thrown off with nothing. Or take some money sooner which can be used to build a new course and Club out of town. What would you choose?
Whilst at the same time locals are concerned the "lungs" of the town will be concreted over. Squaring that circle of competing objectives will take some time!
Winning Maidenhead off the Tories
So Maidenhead is winnable by a centrist candidate who wants to soften or stop Brexit. It can't be Labour, with a Brexit candidate and party policy. It won't be the LibDems on recent form.
Step forward The Just Political Party candidate for Maidenhead. Julian Reid. .International businessman and experienced negotiator at the highest levels of government. Profile to follow. If Macron can win in France, so can Reid in Maidenhead!